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TRADE TENSION REPORT – ENGLISH – (China and USA Data)

$49.00

This is an analysis made for the Refinitiv and Risko Presentation in Lima at The Westin Lima Hotel & Convention Center

 

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Description

RISK TO RECALL

    1. Events that we can not foresee
      • i. Huawei or Hikvision, etc:
    2. PBI World
    3. Unemployment 10 years G7
      • Canada, USA, UK, Germany, France, Italy, Japan
    4. P / E Ratios expected at 12 months
    5. International Bonds: Yields to 10 Years
      • Market often discount the long-term risk poorly before recessions
    6. FX Risk – the most important
      • FX devaluation vs USD since 2015
      • Sovereign risk in USD
      • Payment of interest in USD
      • Payment of interest as% of GDP
  1. Companies pay less taxes
  2. Rate movement
    • EEUU, UK, EU
    • Overnight and other periods
  3. Dollar Index
  4. Risk of wrong forecast

IMPORTS / EXPORTS

    1. Weighted global average tariff
    2. 2015 possible shift
    3. WTO (World Trading Organization) en USD billions
    4. Balance with Germany and France
    5. China/EEUU Trade
      • Erosion since 2000
      • Correction in 2020
    6. China as Top Exporter
    7. Currency turnaround
    8. Tariffs
    9. The meaning for the citizen
    10. First conclusions of Randholm & Co.
    11. Huawei as a private company
    12. Capital outflow in China
    13. Company risk – Example
    14. SP500 with Trump vs. other presidents in the USA
  1. Conclusions
    1. Possible defaults
    2. Long periods

** PDF with 46 pages

** This product includes a 30-minute Skype call to answer questions after reviewing the material **

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