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Mario Randholm

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Dealing with the US downgrade

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randholm
May 19, 2025 5:31 pm / Published in Market Update
Moody’s downgrade of the U.S. credit rating from Aaa to Aa1 on May 16, 2025, the last of the major rating agencies (after S&P in 2011 and Fitch in 2023) to do so. It attributes the downgrade to the U.S.’s rising debt burden, projected to reach 144% of GDP by 2034, and persistent fiscal deficits.

Is Your Capital Positioned to Protect, Profit and Perform?

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randholm
May 16, 2025 9:23 am / Published in Market Update
Together with my partner Charles we are hosting a webinar next week! May 21 at 11:30 Eastern // 05:30 pm  (Central European) Zoom Registration https://us02web.zoom.us/meeting/register/ojYPCg6HQGmhMAwYMw3d9w#/registration For over a decade, 2014-2025, we had lower-than-average volatility. The CBOE Volatility Index (better known as the VIX), which represents the expected annualized volatility of the S&P 500, averaged 17.9. That’s significantly

Fed Holds Rates Steady

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randholm
May 8, 2025 3:24 am / Published in Market Update
Fed Signals Growing Risks of Inflation and Unemployment The Federal Reserve kept interest rates unchanged but warned of heightened risks of rising inflation and unemployment, casting uncertainty over the economic outlook. The U.S. central bank is navigating challenges from Trump administration tariff policies, seeking a clear path forward. India-Pakistan Tensions: Markets Unfazed, US Equities Poised

India and Pakistan Update

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randholm
May 6, 2025 4:31 pm / Published in Market Update

The Dollar: Asia’s Longstanding Anchor

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randholm
May 6, 2025 11:26 am / Published in Market Update
The U.S. dollar’s dominance in Asia wasn’t accidental—it grew out of practical necessity and strategic influence. Key reasons include: Asian economies—especially export-driven ones like South Korea, Singapore, and Malaysia—have often managed their currencies to loosely track the dollar. Some, like Hong Kong, use formal pegs. Others, like Singapore, manage a currency basket but still pay

SP500 Update

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randholm
May 5, 2025 3:34 pm / Published in Market Update
The S&P 500 recently completed a nine-day consecutive rally, a rare three-sigma event with a 1-in-370 likelihood. This bull run has energized stock market optimists. However, cautious investors should note that approximately 80% of such rallies have occurred near recessionary periods. This chart can give you a nice perspective with the volatile monthly candle. YTD
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Mario Randholm Blog. Mario is the founder of Randholm & Co. S.A.C., an investment management company dedicated to producing superior returns for its clients and employees by adhering to mathematical and statistical methods.

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Disclaimer:

Risk Disclosure: Futures and forex trading contains substantial risk and is not for every investor. An investor could potentially lose all or more than the initial investment. Risk capital is money that can be lost without jeopardizing ones’ financial security or life style. Only risk capital should be used for trading and only those with sufficient risk capital should consider trading. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Hypothetical Performance Disclosure: Hypothetical performance results have many inherent limitations, some of which are described below. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown; in fact, there are frequently sharp differences between hypothetical performance results and the actual results subsequently achieved by any particular trading program. One of the limitations of hypothetical performance results is that they are generally prepared with the benefit of hindsight. In addition, hypothetical trading does not involve financial risk, and no hypothetical trading record can completely account for the impact of financial risk of actual trading. for example, the ability to withstand losses or to adhere to a particular trading program in spite of trading losses are material points which can also adversely affect actual trading results. There are numerous other factors related to the markets in general or to the implementation of any specific trading program which cannot be fully accounted for in the preparation of hypothetical performance results and all which can adversely affect trading results.

Testimonials Disclosure: Testimonials appearing on this website may not be representative of other clients or customers and is not a guarantee of future performance or success.

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This site is for informational purposes only. Nothing on this site should be considered investment advice or as a solicitation to buy or sell any security.

Past performance is no guarantee of future results.

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