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Housing and China Update

The U.S. Commerce Department is likely to report that housing starts rose to a rate of 1.235 million units in August from a 1.168 million-unit pace in July, according to a Reuters survey of economists. Building permits are forecast increasing to a 1.31 million-unit pace from 1.303 million units in July. The Commerce Department will also publish its second-quarter
R Option still in cash we are looking for the trigger to enter.

PRIVATE POST – UNEMPLOYMENT

Take a look at the picture below. Since 1939...

Job Growth in USA – CRITICAL DATA

U.S. job growth likely accelerated in August, with the unemployment rate expected to have fallen back to an 18-year low of 3.8 percent, which would bolster views that the economy was so far weathering the Trump administration’s escalating trade war with China.   Why do most forecast do not consider future peaks and/or mean reversion?
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