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Mario Randholm

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Option Expiry $SPX and $FED

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randholm
November 19, 2015 10:17 am / Published in FED, SP500, SPX, SPY
Dont expect VOL to increase – closing options at current level   FOMC minutes indicate that the Fed is set for a rate increase in December.  However, reading the tea leaves tells a new story.  Until now, our analysis of past FOMC minutes has been that the Fed is likely to raise rates by 100

$SPX -1.2% today and -2.71% MTD

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randholm
November 13, 2015 5:04 pm / Published in SPX, SPY
Wall Street declined following weakness in technology shares after Cisco’s disappointing earnings forecast and gloomy sales outlook from department stores. The dollar rose on continued expectations of a Federal Reserve interest rate hike in December, while spot gold declined. Safe-haven bid boosted Treasuries and oil fell on oversupply concerns. A macro systems is giving stay

$RUT Long trade – RUT will try to reduce the gap vs Nasdaq and SP&500

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randholm
November 6, 2015 9:20 am / Published in QQQ, RUT, SP500, SPX, SPY
Exit Time: 3rd week of Dec 2015 Stop Loss: TBD RUT will reduce the current gap vs Nasdaq and SP&500 The markets are holding well to the recent highs they have achieved. The RUT hasn’t had the recent success as the other markets but that could leave it room to catch up instead of lead them

$USD and $SPX stronger

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randholm
October 29, 2015 10:16 am / Published in SPX, SPY, USA, VIX, XIV
Now, there is only 20 points to reach 2100 where some resistance will appear. Financial shares added gains and pushed indexes higher in volatile trade after Federal Reserve hinted a possible rate hike in December. The dollar touched its highest level against the euro in more than two months and Treasury yields rose, while gold

$SPX – Higher Highs and Higher Lows $HHHL

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randholm
October 19, 2015 9:06 pm / Published in Bonds, EUR, SPX, SPY
Gains in biotech shares buoyed indexes offsetting poor quarterly results and a slip in commodity prices. The euro slid against the dollar as investors eyed further stimulus from European Central Bank’s meeting later in the week. Longer-dated Treasury yields ended mostly higher.    

Valid $SPX trading Signal

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randholm
October 19, 2015 9:38 am / Published in SP500, SPX, SPY, USD
Stocks appear to be on the verge of breaking through the resistance that has defined the equity market since the mid-August swoon. But if that’s going to happen, it’s going to have to come as a result of earnings, with a number of big-name stocks such as Alphabet, AT&T, Microsoft, Caterpillar set to release results.
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Mario Randholm Blog. Mario is the founder of Randholm & Co. S.A.C., an investment management company dedicated to producing superior returns for its clients and employees by adhering to mathematical and statistical methods.

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Risk Disclosure: Futures and forex trading contains substantial risk and is not for every investor. An investor could potentially lose all or more than the initial investment. Risk capital is money that can be lost without jeopardizing ones’ financial security or life style. Only risk capital should be used for trading and only those with sufficient risk capital should consider trading. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Hypothetical Performance Disclosure: Hypothetical performance results have many inherent limitations, some of which are described below. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown; in fact, there are frequently sharp differences between hypothetical performance results and the actual results subsequently achieved by any particular trading program. One of the limitations of hypothetical performance results is that they are generally prepared with the benefit of hindsight. In addition, hypothetical trading does not involve financial risk, and no hypothetical trading record can completely account for the impact of financial risk of actual trading. for example, the ability to withstand losses or to adhere to a particular trading program in spite of trading losses are material points which can also adversely affect actual trading results. There are numerous other factors related to the markets in general or to the implementation of any specific trading program which cannot be fully accounted for in the preparation of hypothetical performance results and all which can adversely affect trading results.

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