The Fed will announce its rate decision at 2:00 pm ET followed by a press conference at 2:30 pm ET.
- The consensus is that Fed will raise rates by 0.25%. If Fed does not raise rates, it may provide opportunities.
- The consensus is that there will be one to two more rate increases this year. If Fed indicates differently, it may provide opportunities.
- The consensus is that Fed will not raise rates in June. If the Fed says differently it may provide opportunities.
- The consensus is that any answers regarding Trump policies will be neutral and diplomatic. If it is any different it may provide opportunities.
Here are how various markets are positioned:
*Stocks aggressive long, Gold Short and Bond aggressive short
Another key is their current view for 2018, if they say differently will create volatility.
shttps://www.cmegroup.com/trading/interest-rates/countdown-to-fomc.html
*Some of these views are based on opinions of Mario’s collaborators and network