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More Green #SPX – TOO FAST OR TOO SOON

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randholm
October 12, 2020 8:22 pm / Published in Market Update
TODAY: BULLS were aggressive today, maybe too aggressive. SPX is near ALL TIME HIGH. Last week confirmed that bears wanted higher prices to initiate selling and today got me thinking that maybe and why AMZN and AAPL can dominate an entire index. The banking sector is less relevant today than in 2010 and its “profits”

Green start of the day! #GOLD #SPX

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randholm
October 9, 2020 8:07 am / Published in Market Update
Wall Street futures were in the green as hopes for more fiscal aid boosted optimism. European stock markets gained on rosy earnings forecasts. Japan’s Nikkei posted its biggest weekly gain in two months. Gold jumped, as the dollar weakened and renewed negotiations for U.S. stimulus prompted investors to buy bullion as a hedge against inflation.

Sellers not interested at current prices (pro)

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randholm
October 8, 2020 4:22 pm / Published in Market Update
VIX Futures:My thinking here, with the current drop (last 24 hours), Equity puts are cheap enough to protect the down side. Market Internals:Strong the entire day CONCLUSIONSellers not interested at current prices, thus price will start a new discovery phase, of course I can not know how long it can last. Most likely NEWS will

Real Selling in #SPX #NDX

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randholm
October 2, 2020 6:53 pm / Published in Market Update
white and brown concrete bungalow under clear blue sky
Is this a Seller Market? Last night, I shared on twitter the ASIAN Stock Indexes performance for the Month and YTD. Now, I want you to recall the NYTimes article from 2018 where it described the overnight SP500 performance since 1993 If we connect those two together, it is important to note that there is

USD helping to drive US Stocks Performance

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randholm
September 30, 2020 9:04 pm / Published in Market Update
retro globe with handmade toys against gray background in room
Today the Dollar outshining gold, beating yen in battle of safe havens The flows for equities across the globe is not strong however US Stocks did not trade lower this week. Here you can see that the SP500 trade to almost a -4% for Sep 2020. Historically this is a weak month for stocks. We
USD

SP500 is telling…

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randholm
September 18, 2020 7:07 pm / Published in Market Update
…3 negative weeks in a row is a rare event. My main model closed significant market exposure today. A Weak USD, and Asian and European Equity markets help S&P 500 this week. The SPX charts shows that we had the third negative week in a row. Since 2016, I can only see two more times
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Mario Randholm Blog. Mario is the founder of Randholm & Co. S.A.C., an investment management company dedicated to producing superior returns for its clients and employees by adhering to mathematical and statistical methods.

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Risk Disclosure: Futures and forex trading contains substantial risk and is not for every investor. An investor could potentially lose all or more than the initial investment. Risk capital is money that can be lost without jeopardizing ones’ financial security or life style. Only risk capital should be used for trading and only those with sufficient risk capital should consider trading. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

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