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Market Event which could bring trading opportunities

SP500 Update

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randholm
May 5, 2025 3:34 pm / Published in Market Update
The S&P 500 recently completed a nine-day consecutive rally, a rare three-sigma event with a 1-in-370 likelihood. This bull run has energized stock market optimists. However, cautious investors should note that approximately 80% of such rallies have occurred near recessionary periods. This chart can give you a nice perspective with the volatile monthly candle. YTD

Warren Buffett – Thank you

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randholm
May 5, 2025 3:21 pm / Published in Market Update
Warren Buffett, widely regarded as the most successful investor of our time, shared his insights at the annual Berkshire Hathaway meeting. Here are the key points: Third party reports that I trust is mentioning that BRK may be overvalue by 30 to 34%. Carrying this information forward. He picked Greg Abel as successor

Power outage brings parts of Spain and Portugal to standstill

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randholm
April 28, 2025 4:03 pm / Published in Market Update
I am back, at least for now. Data from Refinitiv Adds Spanish prime minister in paragraphs 3-5, adds quote in paragraph 9, updates throughout MADRID/LISBON, April 28 (Reuters) – A huge power outage brought parts of Spain and Portugal to a standstill on Monday, grounding planes, halting public transport, causing panic buying and leaving the

Market Outlook: U.S.-China Trade Scenarios and Investment Strategies

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randholm
April 25, 2025 7:41 am / Published in Market Update
Following significant market volatility and a period of reflection, it is now clearer that the current situation extends beyond what some blamed to tariffs alone—it concerns the future of the U.S.-China relationship.Apple has confirmed it is relocating parts of its business to India. I wonder if the company considered any locations in Latin America for

Jerome Powell speech … Monetary Policy

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randholm
April 16, 2025 2:54 pm / Published in Market Update
The current S&P 500 weekly candle is down, and it seems unlikely that the market will achieve two consecutive positive weeks. I did not attempt to buy at the bottom of the S&P 500, as I struggle to identify new lows. In my opinion, capitulation has not been confirmed. The valuations of key stocks, such

Business leaders react to tariff pause

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randholm
April 10, 2025 4:46 pm / Published in Market Update
https://www.businessinsider.com/business-leaders-react-donald-trump-temporary-tariff-pause-2025-4 My view is clear: no one can accurately predict future price movements in the market. Yet, it’s important to recognize that some entities shape the market itself.I am not certain that the central bank has taken action. Europe (STOXX 600) monthly and quarterly candles as of yesterday close are concerning. TEXT FORMAT: Apr 10,
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Mario Randholm Blog. Mario is the founder of Randholm & Co. S.A.C., an investment management company dedicated to producing superior returns for its clients and employees by adhering to mathematical and statistical methods.

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Risk Disclosure: Futures and forex trading contains substantial risk and is not for every investor. An investor could potentially lose all or more than the initial investment. Risk capital is money that can be lost without jeopardizing ones’ financial security or life style. Only risk capital should be used for trading and only those with sufficient risk capital should consider trading. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Hypothetical Performance Disclosure: Hypothetical performance results have many inherent limitations, some of which are described below. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown; in fact, there are frequently sharp differences between hypothetical performance results and the actual results subsequently achieved by any particular trading program. One of the limitations of hypothetical performance results is that they are generally prepared with the benefit of hindsight. In addition, hypothetical trading does not involve financial risk, and no hypothetical trading record can completely account for the impact of financial risk of actual trading. for example, the ability to withstand losses or to adhere to a particular trading program in spite of trading losses are material points which can also adversely affect actual trading results. There are numerous other factors related to the markets in general or to the implementation of any specific trading program which cannot be fully accounted for in the preparation of hypothetical performance results and all which can adversely affect trading results.

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