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Macro data does not give support to the bulls yet.  This week we have central banks reporting and AAPL which can change everything.

There are commentaries saying that Large Banks and Asset Managers in USA are advising to go #Short #FAANG Stocks, this is rare.

On the other hand, R Option Model have been reading weakness for a while this is the main reason why we have reduced the trading at R Option. The model is being more selective. R Option looks to reduce market exposure and remember that the cash at Interactive Brokers is paying 1.49% which is a return that need to be added to the performance.

The data below show that we can develop more weakness and that thisis not only an USA event. It is not just in the companies with US or USD exposure . The VIX is still too low for a large movement to be confirmed.

If VIX gets to 20 can trigger the confirmation of a real long-term selling

 

Take a look at this Picture:  14 days simple moving averages are about netural but stocks are not breaking to the down side today.

 

The Fund Flows are not lagging long-term movements. International Flows are moving the USD as well as Asians Stock. Spain, Germany and India can diversify Equity portofolios.

The Flows for the entire quarter was weak. Mutual Funds have to decide if they close here and move to under value stocks or keep their winners looking for an increase in the near future. It seem they are closing.

Any questions just email me, we can have a brainstorming call.  The market can be just consolidating instead of turning to the down side.

 

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