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February 16, 2026 7:34 am / Published in Market Update

Making Trading Simpler

Making Trading Simpler: There Are Only Two Directions

After more than 15 years analyzing markets day after day, I keep coming to the same conclusion: we make things unnecessarily complicated.


The question is always the same: “Where will the price go next?”
And the answer is brutally simple.


The market is nothing more than a live auction. In the S&P 500, whether it’s the cash or the ES futures, prices form exactly like in any other auction: someone offers, someone bids higher, and whoever wants it most gets it.


If buyers are more aggressive, price rises.
If sellers dominate, price falls.
Period.


Some people like to say “price is just marketing” and that “value is what matters.” And they’re right… if you are in my shoes with thousands of executions per year price is our only reality. It’s what we see, what we feel, and what pays the bills.

Let’s simplify it to the extreme:
From any point A, price can only do two things:

Move up to the next area of interest (point B).

Move down to the next area of interest (point C).

There’s no third option. There never has been.

In today’s picture, I show you exactly how I mark those levels.
They’re not magical lines — they’re areas where the major market participants have shown real interest. Areas where volume increased, price was accepted or rejected.


The strategy is as simple as it is effective: Identify the two key levels from where price currently stands.

Decide which side you’ll take (long or short). Set your stop and target where the risk/reward makes real sense (minimum 1:2, ideally 1:3).

And above all, disconnect.

You don’t need to stare at the screen all day. Just wait for price to reach your level.
It reaches → you act.
It doesn’t → you move on.

That’s the foundation of the approach I’ve used for years. Because trading isn’t about predicting the future nobody can with certainty. It’s about preparing for the only two outcomes that truly exist.


Do you use a similar approach?
Do you prefer brutal simplicity or 27 indicators?

Let me know in the comments. And if you want to see exactly how I mark my S&P levels with NT8. See you inside.

Download NT8 gratis en

https://ninjatraderdomesticvendor.sjv.io/9L0VOQ

If you would like to download my templates

https://whop.com/randbots/es-and-nq-levels-for-nt8

See you inside.
Mario Randholm

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Risk Disclosure: Futures and forex trading contains substantial risk and is not for every investor. An investor could potentially lose all or more than the initial investment. Risk capital is money that can be lost without jeopardizing ones’ financial security or life style. Only risk capital should be used for trading and only those with sufficient risk capital should consider trading. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

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“It requires a great deal of boldness and a great deal of caution to make a great fortune; and when you have got it, it requires ten times as much wit to keep it. – Nathan Mayer Rothschild.”
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