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Mario Randholm

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Stronger USD can alter expected US equity returns

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randholm
June 17, 2021 10:30 am / Published in * Trade Alert, DOW, NDX
The FED comments are hurting Gold faster than expected and especially Dow stocks are weaker than Nasdaq as of now This is an update from yesterday – Adding short exposure – Tech not trading lower – NDX

Opening new Shorts – US Equities

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randholm
June 16, 2021 3:51 pm / Published in Market Update
luminous ferris wheel in modern city district on river bank at night
If they market wanted a reason to trade lower. Here we got it. The Fed is starting to modify the narrative. The short will be targeting some key sectors that are clearly over extended and bond ETFs. Not modifying the Option Strategies yet nor the Commodities

FED Tomorrow – why not higher today?

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randholm
June 15, 2021 7:56 pm / Published in SPX
In the past the market was trading higher the day before a FED announcement. Today was not the case. This is raising some flags for me. I will ready for surprises tomorrow.

NDX vs SPX

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randholm
June 1, 2021 5:21 pm / Published in Market Update
Here you you have a nice picture of the NDX and SPX since the open of Sunday. On down days, I expect the SP500 to do a little better than the NDX Overall my position is still long US Equities with Options and Futures and long metals Silver and Gold

Exit plan getting ready – short term

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randholm
May 25, 2021 10:02 am / Published in * Trade Alert
If my last comment from the blog at MAY 20, 2021 5:24 PM made you go short. You can pay attention to the info below. I am developing a exit strategy for those positions as of now just in case the last Friday low is taken out. NDX and SPX

SPX Seasonality since 1928

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randholm
May 20, 2021 5:24 pm / Published in * R Option, * Trade Alert
Since 2012 the avg for May is 0.12% with an STD of 3.67% – Today, in my opinion, negated all the negative sentiment. Today’s price action negated my bearish sentiment I was caring because of the May data since 1928. If bears do not show strength – I am going long as well. Here you
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Mario Randholm Blog. Mario is the founder of Randholm & Co. S.A.C., an investment management company dedicated to producing superior returns for its clients and employees by adhering to mathematical and statistical methods.

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Risk Disclosure: Futures and forex trading contains substantial risk and is not for every investor. An investor could potentially lose all or more than the initial investment. Risk capital is money that can be lost without jeopardizing ones’ financial security or life style. Only risk capital should be used for trading and only those with sufficient risk capital should consider trading. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Hypothetical Performance Disclosure: Hypothetical performance results have many inherent limitations, some of which are described below. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown; in fact, there are frequently sharp differences between hypothetical performance results and the actual results subsequently achieved by any particular trading program. One of the limitations of hypothetical performance results is that they are generally prepared with the benefit of hindsight. In addition, hypothetical trading does not involve financial risk, and no hypothetical trading record can completely account for the impact of financial risk of actual trading. for example, the ability to withstand losses or to adhere to a particular trading program in spite of trading losses are material points which can also adversely affect actual trading results. There are numerous other factors related to the markets in general or to the implementation of any specific trading program which cannot be fully accounted for in the preparation of hypothetical performance results and all which can adversely affect trading results.

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