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A Broken Market Is Defined by Expected Returns

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randholm
July 2, 2026 7:36 am / Published in * Blue Orbit, * R Option
Is the Market’s Beta Always 1? In my last post, I talked about how professional managers are seeing their portfolios “not following the script.” Last night, a friend, a great market scholar, pulled a chart out of his hat that sums it up perfectly. Thanks for sharing it. Historical correlations and betas are no longer

Daily Routine

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randholm
June 4, 2025 3:10 pm / Published in * Blue Orbit, * R Option, * Randbots.com, * Trade Alert
I follow a daily routine that transformed my focus and results! Practically every day since August 1999, I have observed the S&P 500 chart and asked myself: Are we in a bull market, bear market, or range? Later, during my learning phase, I also analyzed other sectors. Now I share with you these charts that

Try again. Fail again. Fail better. Or Never Try.

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randholm
February 18, 2025 9:40 am / Published in * Blue Orbit, * R Option
The quote, “Try again. Fail again. Fail better,” is often attributed to Samuel Beckett. However, the parody title “Worstward Ho” from 1983 mentions, “Ever tried. Ever failed. No matter. Try again. Fail again. Fail better,” reflecting on those words and connecting to my comments yesterday about one of my biggest losses in USD. This led

Market Insights and Strategic Adjustments for the Coming Week

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randholm
February 11, 2025 6:28 am / Published in * R Option
Dear friends and investors, As we truly kick off this week, it’s clear we’re stepping into a period rich with market developments. A glance at the year-to-date S&P 500 futures chart reveals an upward trajectory, as we continue to navigate the recovery from recent tariff announcements. Reflecting on the first month, we’ve witnessed a complex

Shorts did not work yesterday

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randholm
January 14, 2025 6:31 am / Published in * R Option
Yesterday’s day trading was a disappointment for me; it was the first time since May 2024 that I’ve made three consecutive mistakes. I attempted to trade on the short side, which unfortunately resulted in losses. Despite my setbacks, the Nasdaq ended the day in positive territory, while my account took a hit. My aim is

Reflecting on 2024: A Year of Surprises and Solid Return

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randholm
January 10, 2025 8:33 am / Published in * R Option
Reflecting on 2024: A Year of Surprises and Solid Return
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Mario Randholm Blog. Mario is the founder of Randholm & Co. S.A.C., an investment management company dedicated to producing superior returns for its clients and employees by adhering to mathematical and statistical methods.

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Disclaimer:

Risk Disclosure: Futures and forex trading contains substantial risk and is not for every investor. An investor could potentially lose all or more than the initial investment. Risk capital is money that can be lost without jeopardizing ones’ financial security or life style. Only risk capital should be used for trading and only those with sufficient risk capital should consider trading. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Hypothetical Performance Disclosure: Hypothetical performance results have many inherent limitations, some of which are described below. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown; in fact, there are frequently sharp differences between hypothetical performance results and the actual results subsequently achieved by any particular trading program. One of the limitations of hypothetical performance results is that they are generally prepared with the benefit of hindsight. In addition, hypothetical trading does not involve financial risk, and no hypothetical trading record can completely account for the impact of financial risk of actual trading. for example, the ability to withstand losses or to adhere to a particular trading program in spite of trading losses are material points which can also adversely affect actual trading results. There are numerous other factors related to the markets in general or to the implementation of any specific trading program which cannot be fully accounted for in the preparation of hypothetical performance results and all which can adversely affect trading results.

Testimonials Disclosure: Testimonials appearing on this website may not be representative of other clients or customers and is not a guarantee of future performance or success.

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This site is for informational purposes only. Nothing on this site should be considered investment advice or as a solicitation to buy or sell any security.

Past performance is no guarantee of future results.

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