$Employment – Lower than consensus –

April 1, 2015 9:21 am / Published in EUR/USD, Europe, GOLD, Hedge, Inflation, Middle East, NYSE, Rates, Recession
ADP Employment Data came at 189K vs. 225K consensus. The data is adding to the jitters from Iran nuclear talks, Greece, Nigeria election results, slowing growth in China and the way markets traded yesterday afternoon. The futures fell 1% in minutes.

$VXX and $VIX Historical Spread and Correlation

March 26, 2015 9:08 pm / Published in Hedge, Hedge Funds, VIX, VXX
This chart saved me a lot of money. Here is an example of when not to trade VXX if you want to go long VIX. The correlation has greatly decreased as well as the spread.

$VIX increasing and $SPX at trendline

March 26, 2015 9:21 am / Published in * Trade Alert, Hedge, Market Internals, Middle East, Nasdaq and NYSE, SPX, SPY, VIX, VXX
We are trading just at the trendline (green) if the selling pressure does not stop there is a chance to trade to 2000 or bellow to 1990 in the SPX The situation in the Middle East is not helping the markets: “Centuries old conflict between two branches of Islam, Suni and Shia, just escalated.  Overnight Saudis

$Copper, $Gold and Silver – Looking to add shorts $EUR

March 25, 2015 10:54 am / Published in Bonds, EUR, FED, Hedge, Silver, XIV
The Commerce Department report on non-defense capital goods orders excluding aircraft, a closely watched proxy for business spending plans, is expected to rise 0.3 percent in February. Economists polled by Reuters expect a 0.4 percent rise in durable goods order for last month. Euro is strong and has staged, at least temporarily, a breakout above

Market Analisys – Caution at current levels could be forming a top.

April 25, 2014 1:09 pm / Published in * Trade Alert, EUR, EUR/USD, GOLD, Hedge, Market Update, Research
Today we are experiencing selling pressure and the market internals are showing more relative weakness than expected after yesterday opening. This confirms that traders are taking profits from equities and entering into bonds. News: Stock futures weakened during the pre-market trading session, leading to a lower open for the broader market. Investors, who have been

This might be a real sell-off

April 4, 2014 11:56 am / Published in * Trade Alert, EUR/USD, Hedge, Market Update, SPX
As posted in the last weeks, I have been reducing the risk for the entire portfolio. Today we made a new All Time High and now we are seeing a decent sell-off. There are multiple indicators and analysis that tell me this could be a short term top or the beginning for a large correction.