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Mario Randholm

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FX Rates vs USD

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randholm
March 13, 2020 8:37 pm / Published in EUR/USD, GBPUSD, USD, USD/EUR
Her you can find a link to Reuters Graphics http://fingfx.thomsonreuters.com/gfx/rngs/GLOBAL-CURRENCIES-PERFORMANCE/0100301V041/index.html For more graphics http://fingfx.thomsonreuters.com/

STOXX 600 Earnings Update

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randholm
October 30, 2018 12:42 pm / Published in Earnings, EUR, EUR/USD, Europe, STOXX
Overall Recap Of the companies that reported last week, 54% beat EPS expectations and 44% missed EPS expectations.  In addition, 50% beat Revenue expectations and 50% missed Revenue expectations. The company who beat EPS expectations by thelargest amount was Galapagos NV (GLPG.AS) with a positive 145.3%surprise.  The company who missed EPS expectations by the largest

International Flows and FX Risk

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randholm
August 17, 2018 2:00 pm / Published in Brazil, Brexit, China, Copper, Earnings, EUR, EUR/USD, Europe, France, FundFlows, Performance, Peru
Month to date the market had seen the USD adding pressure to some countries, many commodities and some equity markets.  This is on risk that many companies in Asia and LatAm are not ready to hedge. North American companies and European are more used to than others to understand the FX risk. They usually have

Long term market Update

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randholm
March 13, 2018 3:14 pm / Published in * Randbots.com, * Trade Alert, All Time High, EUR/USD, Europe, NIKKEI, R Option, Rally, Recession, SP500, SPX, Unemployment
The SPX and NDX are showing more strength that I expected last few days. Today, we could end up with a bearish engulfing candle on daily SPX. R Option Model still flat even with the strong price action last week. In a monthly candles we are still below the last month close and high. Also

Strong Private Payrolls

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randholm
March 9, 2018 10:24 am / Published in ETF, EU, EUR, EUR/USD, WAR
Non-farm Private Payrolls came at 287K vs. 195K consensus. Tariffs: Market is assuming that China will not materially respond to the tariffs. Trump has gone ahead with tariffs on steel and aluminum.  Mexico and Canada are temporarily exempt. Market is assuming that many other countries will also be able to get an exemption.  Based on this assumption,

STOXX 600 Earnings Outlook

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randholm
January 30, 2018 2:57 pm / Published in * Randbots.com, ECB, Employment, EU, EUR, EUR/USD, Europe
STOXX 600 Earnings Outlook as of the close of today Fourth quarter earnings are expected to increase 11.9% from Q4 2016. Excluding the Energy sector, earnings are expected to increase 9.8%. Fourth quarter revenue is expected to increase 0.3% from Q4 2016. Excluding the Energy sector, earnings are expected to increase 0.5%. 27 companies in
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Mario Randholm Blog. Mario is the founder of Randholm & Co. S.A.C., an investment management company dedicated to producing superior returns for its clients and employees by adhering to mathematical and statistical methods.

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Risk Disclosure: Futures and forex trading contains substantial risk and is not for every investor. An investor could potentially lose all or more than the initial investment. Risk capital is money that can be lost without jeopardizing ones’ financial security or life style. Only risk capital should be used for trading and only those with sufficient risk capital should consider trading. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Hypothetical Performance Disclosure: Hypothetical performance results have many inherent limitations, some of which are described below. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown; in fact, there are frequently sharp differences between hypothetical performance results and the actual results subsequently achieved by any particular trading program. One of the limitations of hypothetical performance results is that they are generally prepared with the benefit of hindsight. In addition, hypothetical trading does not involve financial risk, and no hypothetical trading record can completely account for the impact of financial risk of actual trading. for example, the ability to withstand losses or to adhere to a particular trading program in spite of trading losses are material points which can also adversely affect actual trading results. There are numerous other factors related to the markets in general or to the implementation of any specific trading program which cannot be fully accounted for in the preparation of hypothetical performance results and all which can adversely affect trading results.

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