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Mario Randholm

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US, Iran may resume talks

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randholm
April 14, 2026 7:51 am / Published in * Blue Orbit, * Trade Alert, SPX
Two sides could return to Pakistan by week’s end. Bearish themes that used to dominate simply aren’t present anymore. Equity markets are looking strong month-to-date, showing solid momentum. We’re currently up about 5.5% for the month as of yesterday’s close, and roughly flat year-to-date at +0.5%. The last 10 trading days have been especially positive,
SPX

The Expensive Market: When Discipline Meets Reality

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randholm
March 28, 2026 4:21 am / Published in * Blue Orbit
Asset allocation
Market UpdateMoney Managers

MRI: Market Reaction to Inflation

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randholm
March 23, 2026 5:48 am / Published in Market Update
Short term inflation is not good for investors. The Fed, EU and UK central banks were clear last week, They are not considering lowering rates, thus the S&P has continued to extend its loss under the balance range down another 2.99% last week from Monday’s open to Friday’s close. Investors faced fresh headwinds last week

Powell comments & market reaction

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randholm
March 18, 2026 7:15 pm / Published in Market Update
And the possibility that the Fed’s next move “might be an increase did come up at the meeting as it did at the last meeting,” Powell said, though he added that the “vast majority” of the officials don’t have that outcome as their base case. Monetary policy, he repeated, is “well positioned to determine the

Oil Crisis Widening

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randholm
March 16, 2026 7:27 am / Published in Market Update
The S&P 500 closed at its lowest level in the past two weeks, confirming a clear lower high. This development should put investors on high alert. Are we headed for new price discovery, or will the market revert to its previous trading range? Let’s examine the evidence critically. The primary challenge facing U.S. equities appears

Nasdaq at the lower range and breaking

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randholm
March 9, 2026 6:27 am / Published in * Blue Orbit, * Trade Alert, CL, Nasdaq
Market volatility is heating up amid escalating tensions in the Middle East, and savvy investors are taking note. Last week, the S&P 500 closed below its balance range bottom, dipping about 1% on Monday before a choppy ride: gaps down followed by higher closes on Tuesday and beyond. Friday’s payroll data hammered home the weakness—February
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ABOUT US

Mario Randholm Blog. Mario is the founder of Randholm & Co. S.A.C., an investment management company dedicated to producing superior returns for its clients and employees by adhering to mathematical and statistical methods.

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Risk Disclosure: Futures and forex trading contains substantial risk and is not for every investor. An investor could potentially lose all or more than the initial investment. Risk capital is money that can be lost without jeopardizing ones’ financial security or life style. Only risk capital should be used for trading and only those with sufficient risk capital should consider trading. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Hypothetical Performance Disclosure: Hypothetical performance results have many inherent limitations, some of which are described below. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown; in fact, there are frequently sharp differences between hypothetical performance results and the actual results subsequently achieved by any particular trading program. One of the limitations of hypothetical performance results is that they are generally prepared with the benefit of hindsight. In addition, hypothetical trading does not involve financial risk, and no hypothetical trading record can completely account for the impact of financial risk of actual trading. for example, the ability to withstand losses or to adhere to a particular trading program in spite of trading losses are material points which can also adversely affect actual trading results. There are numerous other factors related to the markets in general or to the implementation of any specific trading program which cannot be fully accounted for in the preparation of hypothetical performance results and all which can adversely affect trading results.

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Past performance is no guarantee of future results.

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