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Mario Randholm

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The Role of Alternative Investments Allocation

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randholm
October 7, 2026 5:14 am / Published in * Blue Orbit
Hedge fund allocation and liquid alternatives, custom-built for one client at a time. My approach is defined by a clear hierarchy of priorities: the client comes first, the portfolio allocation second, and the manager selection third. I assist sophisticated investors in evaluating hedge funds and liquid alternatives, selecting managers, and constructing portfolios tailored to their

A Broken Market Is Defined by Expected Returns

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randholm
July 2, 2026 7:36 am / Published in * Blue Orbit, * R Option
Is the Market’s Beta Always 1? In my last post, I talked about how professional managers are seeing their portfolios “not following the script.” Last night, a friend, a great market scholar, pulled a chart out of his hat that sums it up perfectly. Thanks for sharing it. Historical correlations and betas are no longer

S&P 500, Negative for the Month So Far

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randholm
June 22, 2026 12:17 pm / Published in * Blue Orbit
With just under a week left until month-end, the S&P 500 closed last week in negative territory, down -1.05% MTD, as shown in the chart below. Will it manage to close June in positive territory? We know that the war(s), comments from the U.S. President, and statements from Warsh (Powell’s successor) generated some volatility last
FEDNDXSPX

The SP500 cycle is still …

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randholm
May 11, 2026 8:06 am / Published in * Blue Orbit
The S&P 500 surged 2.63% last week, closing Friday at a fresh all-time high and leaving an unfilled gap from Wednesday open. This gap highlights the ongoing tug-of-war between bulls and bears. To navigate the eventual pullback, watch sector rotation closely: if capital shifts from XLK to other areas rather than fleeing to cash, expect

US, Iran may resume talks

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randholm
April 14, 2026 7:51 am / Published in * Blue Orbit, * Trade Alert, SPX
Two sides could return to Pakistan by week’s end. Bearish themes that used to dominate simply aren’t present anymore. Equity markets are looking strong month-to-date, showing solid momentum. We’re currently up about 5.5% for the month as of yesterday’s close, and roughly flat year-to-date at +0.5%. The last 10 trading days have been especially positive,
SPX

The Expensive Market: When Discipline Meets Reality

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randholm
March 28, 2026 4:21 am / Published in * Blue Orbit
Asset allocation
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Recent Posts

  • Earnings Calendar Site

    Here is a site that been using for a long-long ...
  • Rates are not the elephant in the room

    Long-term rates are not the primary problem, wh...
  • The Role of Alternative Investments Allocation

    Hedge fund allocation and liquid alternatives, ...
  • The Dollar Is Starting to Depend More on Wall Street Than on Treasuries

    Is the dollar becoming more dependent on stocks...
  • Overnight news update

    “This is the kind of risk management the market...

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ABOUT US

Mario Randholm Blog. Mario is the founder of Randholm & Co. S.A.C., an investment management company dedicated to producing superior returns for its clients and employees by adhering to mathematical and statistical methods.

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Risk Disclosure: Futures and forex trading contains substantial risk and is not for every investor. An investor could potentially lose all or more than the initial investment. Risk capital is money that can be lost without jeopardizing ones’ financial security or life style. Only risk capital should be used for trading and only those with sufficient risk capital should consider trading. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Hypothetical Performance Disclosure: Hypothetical performance results have many inherent limitations, some of which are described below. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown; in fact, there are frequently sharp differences between hypothetical performance results and the actual results subsequently achieved by any particular trading program. One of the limitations of hypothetical performance results is that they are generally prepared with the benefit of hindsight. In addition, hypothetical trading does not involve financial risk, and no hypothetical trading record can completely account for the impact of financial risk of actual trading. for example, the ability to withstand losses or to adhere to a particular trading program in spite of trading losses are material points which can also adversely affect actual trading results. There are numerous other factors related to the markets in general or to the implementation of any specific trading program which cannot be fully accounted for in the preparation of hypothetical performance results and all which can adversely affect trading results.

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This site is for informational purposes only. Nothing on this site should be considered investment advice or as a solicitation to buy or sell any security.

Past performance is no guarantee of future results.

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