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Mario Randholm

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ECB FORECAST – Way OFF

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randholm
March 7, 2019 10:23 am / Published in ECB
Updating forecast are normal but when the ECB lowered growth by 35% is a big deal. EUR/USD MOVED to 1.12 on that update Third party data: ECB cuts the growth forecast for 2019 to 1.1% from previous forecast of 1.7%. ECB also cuts inflation outlook to 1.2% from 1.6%. https://www.reuters.com/article/us-ecb-policy-text/ecb-statement-following-policy-meeting-idUSKCN1QO1Q9

#FED TOMORROW

  • 0
randholm
February 20, 2018 4:47 pm / Published in ECB, FED
The U.S. Federal Reserve releases minutes from its last rate-setting meeting that was held in the end of January. Policymakers decided to stand pat but the central bank is widely expected to raise interest rates again in mid-March. The minutes will likely show the Fed remains on track for rate rises this year unless inflation

STOXX 600 Earnings Outlook

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randholm
January 30, 2018 2:57 pm / Published in * Randbots.com, ECB, Employment, EU, EUR, EUR/USD, Europe
STOXX 600 Earnings Outlook as of the close of today Fourth quarter earnings are expected to increase 11.9% from Q4 2016. Excluding the Energy sector, earnings are expected to increase 9.8%. Fourth quarter revenue is expected to increase 0.3% from Q4 2016. Excluding the Energy sector, earnings are expected to increase 0.5%. 27 companies in

$ECB key notes and $USD

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randholm
March 10, 2016 10:54 am / Published in ECB, USD
Highlights Interest rates on overnight deposits by banks are cut by 10 basis points to -0.4%. The benchmark rate is cut to zero. Amount of bonds to be purchased per month has been raised to 80 billion euros. ECB can now purchase corporate bonds. Dollar and European stocks are flying.

$ECB and trades on $CL and $SPX

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randholm
March 9, 2016 8:50 am / Published in CL, ECB, Oil, SPX
The overnight trades are Short ES from 7:33  and Short CL 7:42 European Central Bank (ECB) will announce its policy decision tomorrow morning. Smart Money is optimistic that Draghi can thread the needle between stimulating economy and not hurting the banks with negative interest rates. In addition to the policy statement, the press conference will be

$VIX No reason not to worry $BearMarket

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randholm
January 21, 2016 5:21 pm / Published in ECB, USD, VIX, VXX
Remarks by ECB President Mario Draghi raised hopes for further monetary stimulus and buoyed stocks, while the euro traded lower against the dollar. Oil rebounded from 12-year lows on short covering. Treasuries fell on weak investor demand at $15 billion auction of 10-year TIPS and gold futures slipped.
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Mario Randholm Blog. Mario is the founder of Randholm & Co. S.A.C., an investment management company dedicated to producing superior returns for its clients and employees by adhering to mathematical and statistical methods.

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Disclaimer:

Risk Disclosure: Futures and forex trading contains substantial risk and is not for every investor. An investor could potentially lose all or more than the initial investment. Risk capital is money that can be lost without jeopardizing ones’ financial security or life style. Only risk capital should be used for trading and only those with sufficient risk capital should consider trading. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Hypothetical Performance Disclosure: Hypothetical performance results have many inherent limitations, some of which are described below. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown; in fact, there are frequently sharp differences between hypothetical performance results and the actual results subsequently achieved by any particular trading program. One of the limitations of hypothetical performance results is that they are generally prepared with the benefit of hindsight. In addition, hypothetical trading does not involve financial risk, and no hypothetical trading record can completely account for the impact of financial risk of actual trading. for example, the ability to withstand losses or to adhere to a particular trading program in spite of trading losses are material points which can also adversely affect actual trading results. There are numerous other factors related to the markets in general or to the implementation of any specific trading program which cannot be fully accounted for in the preparation of hypothetical performance results and all which can adversely affect trading results.

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Past performance is no guarantee of future results.

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