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U.S. job growth likely accelerated in August, with the unemployment rate expected to have fallen back to an 18-year low of 3.8 percent, which would bolster views that the economy was so far weathering the Trump administration’s escalating trade war with China. Why do most forecast do not consider future peaks and/or mean reversion?
STOXX 600 Earnings Outlook as of the close of today Fourth quarter earnings are expected to increase 11.9% from Q4 2016. Excluding the Energy sector, earnings are expected to increase 9.8%. Fourth quarter revenue is expected to increase 0.3% from Q4 2016. Excluding the Energy sector, earnings are expected to increase 0.5%. 27 companies in
Sp500 and Nasdaq are negative again after the drop overnight in Asian markets and new political events in the US. The new economic data is morning was positive which helped to reduce the pressure on the market. At this time the indexes are negative today. Tomorrow, we have option expiration. Weekly Jobless Claims came at
We got the jobs numbers today and they blew out expectations. The US created 287,000 versus the estimated 175,000. The unemployment rate ticked higher to 4.9%. The Dow is currently up over 200 points with this beat to the upside. The markets have recovered nicely since the Brexit selloff but is nearing overbought levels. We
Add employment to those reports showing weakness, at least moderate weakness as nonfarm payrolls rose a lower-than-expected 160,000 in April. Revisions are minor, down a combined 19,000 in the two prior months with March now at 208,000. Government is a weak spot in April, down 11,000, with retail also showing weakness, down 3,000 after a



